Families Hurting in Current Housing Market
by Chris Gacek
May 31, 2011The housing market continue to sink according to economic data released today. As the New York Times article by David Streitfeld put it:
Housing prices fell in March to their lowest point since the downturn began, erasing the last little bit of recovery from the depths plumbed two years ago, according to data released Tuesday.
The Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index for 20 large cities fell 0.8 percent from February, the eighth drop in a row. Prices are now down 33.1 percent from the July 2006 peak.
“Home prices continue on their downward spiral with no relief in sight,” said David M. Blitzer, chairman of the S.& P. index committee.
The continuing slide in prices has created enough economic agony that fundamental home ownership patters may be changing. In 2004, the “homeownership rate” (share of occupied homes in the U.S. that are owner-occupied) peaked at 69.2%, the rate now stands at 66.4% in the first quarter of 2011. Apparently, that is an extremely rapid retrenchment given the illiquid and long-term nature of the housing market. Streifeld observes that this is an ownership rate that has fallen back to the level of 1998 – with some experts believing that a decline to 1980s or earlier levels may be possible. Housing prices have now fallen to mid-2002 levels.
Many families are upside-down on their mortgages, and that fact prevents geographical mobility as homeowners cannot leave an area for better paying positions elsewhere. With large college loans outstanding and collapsing housing prices, it is not surprising that families in such circumstances are under tremendous economic pressure. It is hard to imagine that this will not have a great impact on the 2012 election in addition to the traditional economic variables like the unemployment rate.
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Tuesday, May 31, 2011
FRC Blog » Families Hurting in Current Housing Market
Thursday, May 26, 2011
Fixed Mortgage Rates Fall to 2011 Lows!!
Fixed Mortgage Rates Fall to 2011 Lows; 30-year loan fell to 4.60 percent
NEW YORK (AP) — Fixed mortgage rates hit the lowest point of the year for the third straight week.
Freddie Mac said Thursday the average rate on the 30-year loan fell to 4.60 percent from 4.61 percent. That’s the lowest point since mid-December. The average rate on the 15-year fixed mortgage, a popular refinance option, slipped to 3.78 percent from 3.80 percent. That marked the lowest level since late November.
Rates have fallen for six weeks in a row. They tend to track the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which crept lower this week on worries over Europe’s ongoing debt crisis.
While low mortgage rates make purchasing a home more attractive, sales are still slumping. Sales of new homes rose in April from the previous month, but are down almost a quarter from last year, the Commerce Department said Tuesday. And the number of people buying previously occupied homes is well below what economists consider healthy, despite an uptick in activity in April.
Read More from Yahoo Finance
Real estate affordability sets record!!!
Real estate affordability sets record in Q1
74.6% of homes affordable to median-income households
By Inman News, Wednesday, May 25, 2011.Flickr image courtesy of Hammer51012.Housing affordability hit a new record high in the first quarter, surpassing the previous high set in fourth-quarter 2010, according to an index released by the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo today.
The Housing Opportunity Index found that 74.6 percent of new and existing homes sold in the first quarter were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,400. That's up from 73.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2010, and it's the highest level recorded in the more than 20 years the index has been measured.
"With interest rates remaining at historically low levels, today's report indicates that homeownership is within reach of more households than it has been for more than two decades," said Bob Nielsen, chairman of the NAHB, in a statement.
"While this is good news for consumers, homebuyers and builders continue to confront extremely tight credit conditions, and this remains a significant obstacle to many potential home sales."
more...
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Thanks to Schuler Bauer Real Estate Services for sharing this great information!
Monday, May 23, 2011
Realtors Request Looser Credit Regs as Home Sales Decline
BY ADAM QUINONES
The National Association of Realtors today released Existing Home Sales data for April 2011
Existing Home Sales report on the number of completed real estate sales transactions on single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops. The methodology in calculating existing-home sales statistics is really quite simple. Each month the National Association of Realtor® receives data on existing-home sales from local associations/boards and multiple listing services (MLS) nationwide. The monthly EHS economic indicator is based on a representative sample of 160 Boards/MLSs. NAR captures 30-40% of all existing-home sale transactions with its monthly survey.
Thursday, May 12, 2011
Wednesday, May 4, 2011
Mortgage Rates: Early Signs of Significant Shift – Jim Barber
Mortgage Rates: Early Signs of Significant Shift.
After spending the first four months of 2011 in a tight range, we may be witnessing the early stages of a significant shift lower in home loan borrowing costs. But these signs are only the beginning of what might evolve into a sustained rally in the bond market. Nothing has been confirmed. Preliminary signs are encouraging, but could very well be a “false start”.
Very interesting!!
Thanks ADAM QUINONES!!
Monday, May 2, 2011
Home Remodeling a Forward Indicator of Housing Bottom?
Home Remodeling a Forward Indicator of Housing Bottom?
by Jann SwansonBuilders who specialize in home remodeling are seeing a better market than they have in years according to the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Remodeling Market Index (RMI) released on Friday. The index rose to 46.5 in the first quarter of the year from 41.5 in the fourth quarter of 2010.
The current RMI is the highest the index has been since the fourth quarter of 2006.
The RMI is based on builders' perceptions of current remodeling activity and on indicators of future activity such as calls for bids. In addition to the RMI there is an index reflecting each of its two components. Any score of less than 50 indicates more respondents view the market activity as lower (compared to the prior quarter) than report that it is higher.
Current market conditions increased from 43.3 in the fourth quarter to 46.1 while future market indicators jumped to 46.8 from 39.7.
"Remodelers report a jump in activity so far this year and have been receiving more calls for work and appointments," said NAHB Remodelers Chairman Bob Peterson. "However, many home owners are still slow to commit to remodeling due to feeling uncertain about the economic recovery and difficulty obtaining loans."
There were indications of market growth in three of the four regions. The RMI rose from 38.8 to 46.1 in the Northeast and from 39.7 to 46.1 in the West. The South had a marginal rise from 45.8 to 46.1 and the Midwest, while still scoring higher than the other regions dropped substantially from 54.3 in Q4 to 47.1.
All current indicators of types of remodeling increased: major additions to 50.3 from 48.6, minor additions to 48.0 from 43.9, and maintenance and repair to 39.5 from 37.0. Future market indicators also improved across the board: calls for bids rose to from 47.2 to 53.1, appointments for proposals to 52.4 from 43.1, backlog of remodeling jobs to 49.7 from 42.6, and amount of work committed for the next three months to 32.1 from 25.9.
NAHB asked an additional special question of remodelers in this survey cycle: why did they think prospective customers are holding back from remodeling their homes? Ninety-percent of the builders cited the difficulty of obtaining financing while 81 percent noted that customers had lost equity in their homes and 74 percent mentioned economic uncertainty. Other reasons given by builders include their reluctance to invest in a home that might not hold its value (67 percent), negative information from the media (62 percent) and inaccurate appraisals which leading to difficulty in getting financing (54 percent.)
"Home remodeling continues to slowly increase and continued growth through the year is expected." said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. "The fact that some indicators are breaking 50 means remodelers are seeing improving activity in their markets. While credit scarcity and economic uncertainty continue to weigh down remodeling, signs of increasing consumer interest are promising."
Finally ... some Good News!!
Have a Blessed Day!
Jim Barber
http://www.JimBarber.info
Direct 502-939-4742
Fax 812-248-0364
"Work hard and cheerfully at whatever you do, as though you were working for the Lord rather than for people."
Colossians 3:23
===========================================
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : May 2, 2011
What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : May 2, 2011
Mortgage markets improved last week overall. Bigger concerns for Eurozone debt combined with lesser concerns for domestic inflation to push U.S. mortgage rates lower.
Last week marked the 3rd consecutive week through which conforming mortgage rates dropped, the longest such streak since February.
Mortgage rates are now scraping their lowest levels of the year.
A few interesting stories developed last week.
First, the Federal Open Market Committee met and voted to hold the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250. In its post-meeting press release, the FOMC said that inflation has been “pushed up” in recent months, but that believes, long-term, that inflation will moderate.
This message pleased the inflation-sensitive bond markets, the place where mortgage rates are made. Bond prices rose in response, and mortgage rates fell.
Then, because markets believe Greece can’t meet its current debt obligations without restructure, a bout of safe haven buying began, benefiting domestic mortgage-backed bonds and, therefore, mortgage rates.
It’s a terrific example of how world events can change mortgage rates for buyers and would-be refinancing households.
This week, mortgage rates will take their cues from the Greece story as it continues to develop, and from Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls report. The jobs report is always a potential market-mover.
Economists expect to see 196,000 jobs added in the economy for April. If the actual number is larger-than-expected, look for mortgage rates to rise on better prospects for the U.S. economy. If the number falls short, look for rates to drop.
With last month’s mortgage rate rally, this week marks a good time to lock a rate. Based on current market fundamentals, it appears that there’s much more room for rates to rise than to fall. This may be as low as rates get all year.
Good Information, Thanks Dan!
Have a Blessed Day!
Jim Barber
http://www.JimBarber.info
Direct 502-939-4742
Fax 812-248-0364
"Work hard and cheerfully at whatever you do, as though you were working for the Lord rather than for people."
Colossians 3:23
===========================================
Check out my Facebook page:
http://facebook.com/jim.barber.lo
Sunday, May 1, 2011
Is It Time?? Look and YOU Decide!
How in this economy can you same THOUSANDS!! Could it be time to look at Real Estate as an investment again?
Have a Blessed Day! "Work hard and cheerfully at whatever you do, as though you were working for the Lord rather than for people."
Jim Barber
http://www.JimBarber.info
Direct 502-939-4742
Fax 812-248-0364
Colossians 3:23
===========================================
Check out my Facebook page:
http://facebook.com/jim.barber.lo
Get Skype and call me for free.
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